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Annexon, Inc. (ANNX)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Clinical progress overshadowed by higher OpEx: Q4 featured a larger net loss ($48.6M) as R&D accelerated across ANX005 (GBS), ANX007 (GA) and ANX1502 (oral C1s) while cash/short-term investments stood at ~$312.0M with runway into 2H26 .
  • Regulatory momentum: Company is targeting a pre-BLA meeting for ANX005 in 1H25 ahead of BLA submission; ANX007 secured a “groundbreaking” single-study global path with Phase 3 ARCHER II data expected 2H26 .
  • Q4 portfolio catalysts: Positive real-world evidence (RWE) readout showed ANX005 outperformed IVIg/PE in matched cohorts on muscle strength and functional outcomes; fewer intubations reported in ANX005-treated patients (15/79 vs 32/79) .
  • Street estimates: S&P Global consensus data were unavailable at time of analysis (API limit). As a pre-revenue biotech, no revenue line was reported; comparisons focus on OpEx, EPS loss, and cash runway .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • RWE strengthens ANX005 package: Matched cohort analysis showed faster and greater improvement in muscle strength and disability vs IVIg/PE; roughly half as many ANX005 patients required mechanical ventilation (15/79 vs 32/79) .
  • Clearer regulatory path for ANX007: Company established a single global registration program (ARCHER II) for vision preservation in GA, aligned with BCVA ≥15-letter loss as primary endpoint; data expected 2H26 .
  • Leadership and balance sheet support execution: Cash/short-term investments ~$312.0M at 12/31/24 with forecast runway into 2H26; added commercial leadership and a new director with launch experience .

“Importantly, our three flagship programs are showing tremendous promise to be game-changing, best-in-class therapies…” — Douglas Love, CEO .

What Went Wrong

  • Higher OpEx drives larger quarterly loss: R&D rose to $43.4M in Q4 (vs $30.1M in Q3), pushing total OpEx to $52.5M and net loss to $48.6M .
  • Execution risk into filings remains: Company still must complete pre-BLA and file ANX005; regulators could require more data despite positive RWE .
  • No earnings call transcript available: We did not find a Q4 2024 earnings call transcript, limiting color on finer financials and Q&A clarifications (no transcript located in the period searched) [ListDocuments 2025-02-20–2025-03-20 returned none].

Financial Results

P&L – Year-over-Year (Q4 2023 vs Q4 2024)

Metric (USD)Q4 2023Q4 2024
Research & Development$23.3M $43.4M
General & Administrative$6.7M $9.1M
Total Operating Expenses$30.0M $52.5M
Interest & Other Income (net)$2.1M $3.9M
Net Loss$(27.9)M $(48.6)M
Net Loss/Share (basic & diluted)$(0.36) $(0.33)
Weighted Avg Shares78.2M 147.8M

Notes: YoY loss widened on higher R&D as programs advanced .

P&L – Sequential Trend (Q2 2024 → Q3 2024 → Q4 2024)

Metric (USD)Q2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Research & Development$25.0M $30.1M $43.4M
General & Administrative$8.6M $9.3M $9.1M
Total Operating Expenses$33.6M $39.4M $52.5M
Interest & Other Income (net)$4.0M $4.6M $3.9M
Net Loss$(29.6)M $(34.8)M $(48.6)M
Net Loss/Share$(0.23) $(0.25) $(0.33)

Notes: Sequential OpEx increase reflects intensifying clinical investment (GBS/GA/ANX1502) .

Liquidity – Balance Sheet Cash and Investments

Metric (USD)12/31/20236/30/20249/30/202412/31/2024
Cash & Cash Equivalents$225.1M $157.3M $79.5M $49.5M
Short-term Investments$34.6M $211.4M $260.6M $262.5M
Total Cash + ST Inv. (calc)$259.7M$368.7M$340.1M$312.0M
Cash Runway (Mgmt view)Into 2H26 Into 2H26 Into 2H26

Notes: Management reiterated cash runway into 2H26 each quarter . Totals align with press disclosures (~$368.7M, ~$340.1M, ~$312.0M) .

Segment breakdown: Not applicable (no product revenue reported) .

KPIs (Clinical)

  • ANX005 RWE matched cohorts n=79 vs n=79; fewer ventilations with ANX005 (15/79) vs IVIg/PE (32/79) .
  • Early strength benefit >10-point MRC advantage by week 1 (p<0.0001) .
  • GA Phase 2: 0% ≥15-letter loss in “less advanced” monthly-treated subgroup (0/56) vs 17% sham (10/59); overall monthly-treated 6% vs 21% sham (nominal p-values 0.0013 and 0.0021) .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Cash RunwayCompany operating planInto 2H26 (Q2’24) Into 2H26 (Q4’24) Maintained
ANX005 (GBS) RegulatoryBLA timingBLA 1H25 (Q2/Q3’24) Pre-BLA meeting 1H25 ahead of BLA (Q4’24) Clarified milestone timing; maintained 1H25 path
ANX007 (GA) Pivotal ReadoutPhase 3 ARCHER IITopline 2H26 (Q2/Q3’24) Topline 2H26 (Q4’24) Maintained
ANX1502 (CAD) POCDataset timingInitial data Q4’24 (Q2’24) Expanded dataset up to seven patients mid-2025 (Q4’24) Updated timing (later, broader dataset)

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: No Q4 2024 earnings call transcript was available in our corpus search; themes derived from company press materials for Q2–Q4 2024.

TopicQ2 2024 (Earlier Quarter)Q3 2024 (Prior Quarter)Q4 2024 (Current Period)Trend
ANX005 GBS – Clinical/RegulatoryPositive Phase 3 topline; initiated RWE via IGOS; targeting BLA 1H25 Continued RWE work; BLA 1H25 targeted Positive RWE matched-cohort results; pre-BLA mtg 1H25 ahead of BLA Strengthening dataset; regulatory prep advancing
ANX007 GA – Registration PathDosing in ARCHER II; alignment on BCVA ≥15-letter loss Global registrational trial ongoing Single-study global path; enrollment complete 2H25; data 2H26 Registration clarity improved
ANX1502 – Oral C1sBridging study done; initial POC data Q4’24 Enhanced tablet; POC data 1Q25 Three pts dosed; expanded dataset up to seven pts mid-2025 Timeline extended; dataset broadened
Commercial readinessNot emphasizedHires across commercial/medical/HEOR Added experienced director BJ Jones Building launch capabilities
Balance sheet/runway~$368.7M; runway into 2H26 ~$340.1M; runway into 2H26 ~$312.0M; runway into 2H26 Runway reiterated; cash burn rising with OpEx

Management Commentary

  • “Our lead program, ANX005 for the treatment of Guillain-Barré Syndrome (GBS), has consistently demonstrated early and durable functional improvements with a differentiated safety profile… We look forward to the pre-BLA meeting with FDA targeted for the first half of 2025 ahead of our BLA submission.” — Douglas Love, CEO .
  • “Following positive engagement with EU and U.S. regulators… groundbreaking global registration path [for ANX007]… the primary endpoint of ARCHER II is prevention of ≥15-letter loss of BCVA.” .
  • “Three patients [ANX1502] enrolled to date with observed reduction in key clinical and biomarker outcomes consistent with complement inhibition; awaiting full data… dataset in up to seven CAD patients mid-2025.” .

Q&A Highlights

  • We did not locate a Q4 2024 earnings call transcript; no Q&A highlights available in our document set [ListDocuments 2025-02-20–2025-03-20 returned none].

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global/Capital IQ consensus estimates for Q4 2024 (revenue/EPS) were unavailable at the time of analysis due to API request limits; no estimate comparisons are provided. As a clinical-stage, pre-revenue biotech, results primarily reflect operating expenses, net loss per share, and cash runway rather than revenue/margin beats or misses .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • ANX005 path-to-filing is the near-term value driver: positive RWE plus Phase 3 and an imminent pre-BLA meeting in 1H25 set up a potential BLA filing; regulatory feedback is the key catalyst to watch .
  • For GA, ANX007 has a clearer, single global pivotal path centered on a functional vision endpoint (BCVA ≥15-letter loss); enrollment targeted to complete 2H25 with topline 2H26—longer-dated but high-impact .
  • OpEx is scaling with execution: R&D ramped to $43.4M in Q4, lifting OpEx and net loss; expect burn aligned with pivotal and regulatory activities .
  • Balance sheet supports execution through major readouts: ~$312.0M in cash and ST investments at year-end and runway into 2H26 reduce near-term financing overhang amid higher spend .
  • ANX1502 offers optionality in autoimmune disease with an oral agent; timeline extended to mid-2025 for a larger CAD dataset, which may refine development plans across indications .
  • Absent Q4 call transcript, monitor upcoming conference disclosures (e.g., AAN oral presentation for ANX005 on Apr 8, 2025) for deeper clinical and regulatory color .

Sources

  • Q4/FY 2024 8-K and press release: financials, cash runway, and portfolio updates .
  • Q3 2024 8-K/press release: prior-quarter financials and milestones .
  • Q2 2024 8-K/press release: earlier-quarter financials and milestones .
  • Q4 period press releases: ANX005 RWE (Dec 16, 2024) ; ANX007 presentations (Dec 5, 2024; Oct 22, 2024; Oct 15, 2024) .